Much was made of Masashi Oiso's unfocused draft, which left him with a black-green mess splashing red for two Spiraling Embers. If you haven't seen it yet, our Sunday webcast featured Oiso's draft, and you can watch it here (39.9 MB zip).
Did Oiso have a good chance to jettison his attempt at green and jump into red? Pick 3 of pack 2 provided a doorway that Oiso chose not to go through. With only Sosuke, Son of Seshiro, Kami of the Hunt, and Wear Away making up his green contingent from pack 1, Oiso grabbed Gnarled Mass to bulk up his creature base. Not a bad pick, but in retrospect, the Cunning Bandit could have shifted him into red with a bounty awaiting in pack 3. Because Geoffrey Siron was the only red drafter at the table, this shift wouldn't have affected other players' picks as no one else was hunting for red.
Here's a sample of the red cards Oiso saw in Pack 3:
Pick 2: Barrel Down Sokenzan
Pick 3: Sokenzan Spellblade
Pick 4: Spiraling Embers
Pick 5: Spiraling Embers and Undying Flames
Pick 6: Barrel Down Sokenzan
Oiso ended up picking and using the two Spiraling Embers for a splash of red (leaving two First Volley in his sideboard). In reality, here is what he ended up with those picks: O-Naginata, Razorjaw Oni, Briarknit Kami, and Death Denied.
And a 15-minute stomping at the hands of Siron in the quarterfinals.
Another interesting way to view the draft is to look at the high picks players didn't put in their decks, and the low picks that made it, to judge the "value" of their picks. Interestingly enough, Siron dominated the Top 8 despite not playing his second pick out of Pack 3, a place you'd expect to find some serious gas for your deck.
Lowest pick used: Pack 1, pick 11 - Brothers Yamazaki
Highest pick not used: Pack 1, pick 7 - Kami of Fire's Roar | What he could have picked; Pack 2, pick 7 - Kami of False Hope | What he could have picked
Lowest pick used: Pack 1, pick 11 - Commune with Nature; Pack 3, pick 11 - Overwhelming Intellect
Lowest pick used: Pack 1, pick 13 - Kitsune Healer
Highest pick not used: Pack 1, pick 8 - Zo-Zu the Punisher | What he could have picked; Pack 3, pick 8 - Sakura-Tribe Springcaller | What he could have picked
Lowest pick used: Pack 3, pick 10 - Promised Kannushi
This is merely scratching the surface of what you can derive from the Draft Viewer – hundreds of decisions were made over the course of the draft, so jump in and start dissecting the action!